A commercial property inspection can kill a deal that looked perfect on paper, and this episode shows exactly how. In the first episode of The Route, Jason and Abraham drive out to walk industrial properties in South Florida, run live numbers with a broker on the phone, put a drone in the air, and watch one deal fall apart the moment they arrive. This is the part of commercial real estate most investors never see: what happens between the listing and the decision.
Why Industrial Real Estate Tops the List
The first stop is a Class A distribution center, and Jason breaks down why industrial real estate sits at the top of the Price Capital buy list, ahead of multifamily and retail. Industrial space is wide open with 22 to 25 foot ceilings and no interior build out. When a tenant leaves an office or retail space, the owner often has to demolish and rebuild the interior for the next business. A distribution warehouse is ready for the next tenant the day the last one leaves, and thousands of companies can use the same box. That flexibility is what makes a well located industrial building an asset that can produce for decades.
Running the Numbers Before the Visit
On the drive, a broker call brings a live deal: a 14,000 square foot building with a triple net lease, listed at $3.4 million with $222,000 in net operating income, roughly a 6.5 cap. The tenant is a food distribution company recently acquired by a private equity group with over $4 billion in revenue, paying 4 percent annual increases. Under a triple net lease the tenant covers taxes, insurance, and general maintenance, which is what makes these deals attractive to own.
Then Jason stress tests it. The asking price works out to about $240 per square foot, but the lease has only about three years of committed term left. An empty commercial building typically sells for roughly 30 percent less, call it $60 per square foot on this one. Across 14,000 square feet, that is more than $800,000 of downside if the tenant leaves and the space cannot be re rented. The income looks safe. The lease term is the risk.
The Property That Looked Like a Deal
The second stop is the one from the title: a 34,000 square foot multi tenant building listed at $8.9 million with $367,000 in net operating income. That pricing puts it near a 4 cap. At a more realistic 6 cap the same income supports about $6 million, a $3 million gap between the ask and the math. And that is before reaching the property, where overgrown landscaping and a rough parking lot say the seller either does not care or does not know how to present a building.
Real Estate Due Diligence You Can Only Do On Site
The most valuable real estate due diligence in the episode costs nothing. Jason and Abraham walk in and talk to the maintenance man who has worked the building daily for a year. In a few minutes they learn the parking lot is in bad shape, the building has drainage problems and age related issues, and the tenant mix leans on churches, which typically pay below market rent. None of that was in the listing. All of it changes the deal. Talking to maintenance staff and tenants on site is how you verify what an owner tells you against what is actually true.
The Verdict and the Rule
No offer. The numbers did not survive the visit. The lesson Jason repeats is the rule the whole series is built on: location is number one, two, and three, and it is better to overpay for the right property in the right location than to get a discount on the wrong one. You cannot know which one you have from a listing package. You have to put boots on the ground, put the drone in the air, and feel the property yourself. To see how the same team analyzes a deal from the lending side, watch the 800K Burger King lending breakdown.
Watch the full episode above, then check the related clips below, and subscribe on YouTube to ride along on the next one.